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If Russia's response to our Tomahawk missile attacks is muted, Trump's popularity will rebound; he looks tougher than Obama on an important WMD/civilian-children-saving way, and he counters suspicion that he is unduly in Putin's pocket.

Of course, is Russia's response is not so muted, his popularity goes up, since we always rally around the Commander-in-Chief when the war drums beat.

So likely a win for Trump in the rating sweeps either way, I guess, which is how he gauges success.